In addition, the results of current polling portray the electoral environment as similar to that of 19, when the incumbent party lost control of both houses of Congress. As the 2010 congressional election approaches, more than 6 in 10 likely voters (64%) believe that the country has gotten off on the wrong track, while about one third (31%) think the country is headed in the right direction (Bloomberg). Our analysis focuses on six questions: the mood of the country at the time of the election, the potential role of health care as a voting issue, the public's approval or disapproval of the current national health care reform legislation, what registered voters want the next Congress to do about the legislation, differences in views of the health care law between those who report that they intend to vote for a Democratic congressional candidate and those who say they'll vote for a Republican candidate, and the implications for health care reform of electing a new Congress controlled by Republicans.įirst, regarding the question of the country's mood, it seems clear that Americans today have very negative views about the general direction of the country, and they express an anti-incumbent attitude toward Congress. Most of these polls, which have sample sizes of 721 to 2054, report the views of the public as a whole, though others report the views of registered voters or people likely to vote in the election (see Opinion Polls on Health Care and the 2010 Election). We examined the role of health care in the coming congressional election from the perspective of potential voters, drawing on results from 17 independent polls. 1,2 This partisan divide over the legislation's future makes the 2010 election highly significant for Americans involved in medicine and health care. The former possibility has been raised by some leading congressional Democrats, and the latter by leading Republicans. Such alteration might involve expanding the government's role in the plan - for example, by adding a public insurance option to compete with those of private insurers - or in the other policy direction, repealing and replacing much of the current legislation before it is implemented. The election has significance for health care because most of the provisions of the national reform law do not take effect for years, and some of them could be altered by the next Congress. The most trusted, influential source of new medical knowledge and clinical best practices in the world.Įight months after the enactment of historic health care reform legislation (the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act), the country faces a midterm congressional election with all seats inthe House of Representatives and one third of Senate seats up for election.
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